Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 2
HUR
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
4 - 0
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 0
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 0
CUM
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
BIR
66%
23%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
MID
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
HUL
0 - 1
DER
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
POS
2 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 3
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
HUR
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |