Chinese Super League Round 11

Shanghái Port vs Changchun Yatai analysis

Shanghái Port Changchun Yatai
83 ELO 63
7.6% Tilt 8.3%
406º General ELO ranking 2163º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Shanghái Port
14.8%
Draw
6.5%
Changchun Yatai

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Shanghái Port
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.5%
Win probability
Changchun Yatai
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shanghái Port
+1%
-23%
Changchun Yatai

Points and table prediction

Shanghái Port
Their league position
Changchun Yatai
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
32
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
78
78
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
77
77
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
59
59
100%
Beijing Guoan
56
56
100%
Shandong Taishan
48
48
100%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
42
42
100%
Zhejiang FC
38
38
100%
Henan FC
36
36
100%
Changchun Yatai
32
32
100%
Qingdao West Coast
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Wuhan Three Towns
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
13º
29
29
12º
100%
Shenzhen Peng City
14º
29
29
13º
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
12º
29
29
14º
0%
Meizhou Hakka
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shanghái Port
Changchun Yatai
AFC Champions League Elite
100% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Shanghái Port
Changchun Yatai
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shanghái Port
Shanghái Port
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2024
SJF
Shenzhen Peng City
0 - 6
Shanghái Port
SHA
13%
22%
65%
82 66 16 0
01 May. 2024
QIN
Qingdao Hainiu
0 - 5
Shanghái Port
SHA
11%
21%
68%
82 63 19 0
27 Apr. 2024
SHA
Shanghái Port
1 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
58%
23%
19%
82 79 3 0
14 Apr. 2024
SHA
Shanghái Port
4 - 3
Shandong Taishan
SHA
43%
24%
32%
82 82 0 0
09 Apr. 2024
GUA
Nantong Zhiyun
0 - 3
Shanghái Port
SHA
9%
21%
70%
82 60 22 0

Matches

Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2024
GUA
Nantong Zhiyun
2 - 3
Changchun Yatai
CHA
34%
27%
40%
63 60 3 0
01 May. 2024
CHA
Changchun Yatai
1 - 1
Shenzhen Peng City
SJF
43%
28%
30%
63 66 3 0
26 Apr. 2024
CHA
Changchun Yatai
0 - 1
Meizhou Hakka
MEI
51%
24%
25%
63 60 3 0
20 Apr. 2024
WFC
Wuhan Three Towns
0 - 0
Changchun Yatai
CHA
63%
21%
16%
63 71 8 0
14 Apr. 2024
CHA
Changchun Yatai
1 - 2
Chengdu Rongcheng
CBC
25%
27%
48%
63 75 12 0