Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 3-2
Shamrock Rovers vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
6 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 1
SHR
44%
29%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
SHR
0 - 2
FCK
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 0
SHR
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FLO
0 - 0
SHR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
5 - 0
NPA
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GNK
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
GNK
2 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
SHK
0 - 1
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 0
SHK
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |