FAI Cup .
Global 1-3
Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SHR
3 - 0
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
STP
1 - 1
SHR
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHR
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 2
SHR
48%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
SHR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
BRW
1 - 1
DER
20%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
ATH
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
DER
5 - 0
DRO
44%
24%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 2
DER
33%
24%
44%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
DUN
5 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |