Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
6º
6º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
SHA
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GOM
0 - 1
SHA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
DIN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
SLA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DNM
2 - 0
NAF
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 0
NAF
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 3
FKS
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 2
DIN
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEM
4 - 0
NAF
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |