Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Dnepr Mogilev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
16º
16º
73
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Petrikov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 3
SHP
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHP
1 - 5
ZHY
43%
23%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
SHP
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SHP
2 - 1
VOL
39%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FBG
2 - 1
SHP
34%
22%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DNP
3 - 0
MOL
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
OFC
0 - 0
DNP
28%
23%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
2 - 1
MKK
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 5
DNP
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DNP
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |