Shakhter Karagandy vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
13º
10º
26
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 36% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 1
SHA
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
ATY
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AKS
2 - 1
SHA
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
KAS
68%
20%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FCA
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Okzhetpes Kokshetau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OKZ
2 - 1
ZHE
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
OKZ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 1
KAI
30%
25%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 4
ORD
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 1
OKZ
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |