Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs TuS Haltern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
-º
20º
16º
10
-º
21º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 69 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 89 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 75 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 77 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 72 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 92 |
1º
|
2% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 70 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 63 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
11º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 45 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 52 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 71 |
6º
|
4% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 36 |
18º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 31 |
20º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 62 |
10º
|
4% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 43 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 40 |
17º
|
7% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 43 |
16º
|
6% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 44 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 22 |
21º
|
7% | |
|
21º
|
0 | 33 |
19º
|
10% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Promotion | 1% | 1% |
| Mid-table | 65% | 65% |
| Relegation | 34% | 33% |
ELO progression
TUS
SFB
PRE
TVC
SPO
GUT
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SFB | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
2 - 2
TUS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 2
SFB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 1
SFB
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
5 - 4
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | -1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ASC
4 - 2
SFB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
TuS Haltern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TUS | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
2 - 2
TUS
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TUS
0 - 1
GUT
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 130 | -83 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
KMA
5 - 0
TUS
46%
27%
26%
|
48 | 132 | 84 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUS
0 - 5
WER
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 123 | -51 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SVR
3 - 0
TUS
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 136 | 63 | -1 |