Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 1
SGD
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SGD
4 - 1
STU
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 1
ROS
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 3
SGD
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SGD
5 - 1
UNT
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 0
WEH
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 1
ERF
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ERF
1 - 0
UNT
45%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SVS
0 - 0
ERF
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 2
MSV
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |