3. Liga Round 31

Dynamo Dresden vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis

Dynamo Dresden Rot-Weiss Erfurt
63 ELO 67
-3.8% Tilt -14.6%
379º General ELO ranking 2449º
33º Country ELO ranking 97º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Dynamo Dresden
27%
Draw
30.5%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.5%
Win probability
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dynamo Dresden
+3%
+11%
Rot-Weiss Erfurt

ELO progression

Dynamo Dresden
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2011
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
35%
28%
37%
64 57 7 0
26 Mar. 2011
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
47%
25%
28%
64 61 3 0
19 Mar. 2011
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 0
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
57%
24%
19%
64 58 6 0
12 Mar. 2011
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
0 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
34%
29%
37%
63 57 6 +1
05 Mar. 2011
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 0
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
46%
27%
28%
62 64 2 +1

Matches

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2011
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
Heidenheim
HEI
51%
24%
25%
66 62 4 0
19 Mar. 2011
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1 - 3
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
40%
27%
33%
65 61 4 +1
12 Mar. 2011
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
33%
29%
38%
64 74 10 +1
04 Mar. 2011
OFC
Kickers Offenbach
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
50%
26%
24%
65 66 1 -1
26 Feb. 2011
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
66%
21%
13%
65 56 9 0