Dynamo Dresden vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
13º
17º
17º
3
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 56 |
1º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 55 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 55 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 50 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 47 |
11º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 44 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 44 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SGF
3 - 2
SGD
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
SCF
3 - 3
SGD
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SLP
4 - 2
SGD
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
1 - 3
SGD
50%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 7
SGD
6%
14%
80%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 1
EBT
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
3 - 4
WOL
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
CHE
1 - 1
MAG
10%
16%
74%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
2 - 5
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 2
ZUR
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |