Comercial vs Rioaveso Machinango S.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
5 - 2
COM
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COM
5 - 4
CAB
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAS
4 - 0
COM
80%
13%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COM
3 - 2
FOL
10%
16%
75%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rioaveso Machinango S.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
PNG
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PNG
5 - 1
MAC
38%
22%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAT
2 - 5
MAC
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 0
COM
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAC
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |