01 Hoechst vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
VFB
2 - 0
SGH
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
SGH
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
FVB
0 - 3
SGH
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SGH
8 - 0
HEK
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
SVB
1 - 3
SGH
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
SVB
3 - 0
LOH
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
EIH
3 - 3
SVB
44%
25%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
SVB
1 - 1
SBS
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
SVB
0 - 1
VIK
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
OFC
2 - 0
SVB
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |