Stern vs Stern Marienfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 0
TBD
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 1
SFC
88%
8%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 1
TSV
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 4
SFC
13%
18%
70%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 2
SFC
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stern Marienfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
FSM
63%
18%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FSM
4 - 1
TBD
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BSV
2 - 2
FSM
46%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
5 - 0
FSM
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FSM
1 - 3
SVE
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |