SF Niederwenigern vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
15º
18º
15º
66
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 73 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 71 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
4º
|
78% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 61 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
46% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
46% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
1FC
2 - 2
SFN
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFN
0 - 2
KLE
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TEU
3 - 1
SFN
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 4
GRA
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 1
ENN
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 3
SVB
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TDV
1 - 1
SWE
21%
23%
57%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 1
SWE
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
DAK
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |