Oberliga Niederrhein Round 26

SF Baumberg vs Velbert analysis

SF Baumberg Velbert
37 ELO 33
12.8% Tilt 25%
5137º General ELO ranking 2579º
249º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
61.9%
SF Baumberg
18.6%
Draw
19.6%
Velbert

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
SF Baumberg
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.6%
Win probability
Velbert
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SF Baumberg
-61%
+77%
Velbert

ELO progression

SF Baumberg
Velbert
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SF Baumberg
SF Baumberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2019
KLE
Kleve
0 - 1
SF Baumberg
SFB
20%
20%
60%
36 30 6 0
24 Mar. 2019
SFB
SF Baumberg
3 - 2
FSV Duisburg
FSV
89%
8%
3%
37 18 19 -1
17 Mar. 2019
DUS
Düsseldorf-West
3 - 0
SF Baumberg
SFB
14%
17%
70%
38 26 12 -1
10 Mar. 2019
SFB
SF Baumberg
0 - 0
Germania Ratingen
GRA
69%
17%
14%
39 32 7 -1
24 Feb. 2019
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 1
SF Baumberg
SFB
13%
16%
71%
39 25 14 0

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2019
VEL
Velbert
2 - 2
Homberg
VFB
14%
18%
69%
31 44 13 0
24 Mar. 2019
NET
SC Union Nettetal
1 - 1
Velbert
VEL
23%
22%
56%
32 26 6 -1
17 Mar. 2019
VEL
Velbert
0 - 1
SC Velbert
VEL
63%
20%
18%
32 25 7 0
10 Mar. 2019
SPE
Speldorf
1 - 3
Velbert
VEL
38%
21%
40%
31 26 5 +1
24 Feb. 2019
VEL
Velbert
0 - 2
FC Bocholt
FCB
36%
24%
40%
33 36 3 -2