SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
15º
12º
1
12º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
18º
|
0 | 75 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 66 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 58 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 52 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 52 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 47 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 41 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 20 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 18 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
SFB
4 - 2
SWE
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
KFC
1 - 1
SFB
37%
23%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SFB
0 - 1
VEL
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SON
4 - 1
SFB
39%
23%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SFB
1 - 1
SCH
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Holzheimer SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
MEE
1 - 0
HSG
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
HSG
0 - 0
KLE
11%
19%
70%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MEE
5 - 0
HSG
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 2
HSG
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HSG
4 - 5
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |