Sevilla vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SEV
4 - 0
DZG
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
37%
28%
35%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
DZG
0 - 1
SEV
31%
26%
44%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 3
SEV
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
FCB
16%
20%
64%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 0
GRA
94%
5%
2%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VCF
2 - 3
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 0
MAC
86%
9%
5%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FCB
4 - 0
DEP
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | +1 |