Sevilla vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
MID
0 - 4
SEV
33%
25%
43%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 2
SEV
30%
28%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
SEV
3 - 0
GET
56%
24%
19%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 2
SEV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 0
S04
48%
27%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESP
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
54%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 0
CAD
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
0 - 0
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
0 - 1
FCB
51%
25%
25%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | +1 |