Europa League Group C Round 5

Sevilla vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Sevilla AZ Alkmaar
92 ELO 87
-3.4% Tilt -5.7%
49º General ELO ranking 102º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.3%
Sevilla
17.3%
Draw
12.4%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
Sevilla
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sevilla
-7%
+7%
AZ Alkmaar

ELO progression

Sevilla
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2006
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
39%
26%
35%
92 93 1 0
03 Dec. 2006
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
34%
27%
39%
92 87 5 0
29 Nov. 2006
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 4
Sevilla
SEV
28%
28%
45%
92 83 9 0
26 Nov. 2006
ATH
Athletic
1 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
30%
28%
42%
92 86 6 0
23 Nov. 2006
SEV
Sevilla
2 - 0
Sporting Braga
SPB
78%
16%
6%
91 79 12 +1

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2006
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
52%
23%
25%
86 88 2 0
03 Dec. 2006
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
5 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
79%
14%
8%
86 70 16 0
29 Nov. 2006
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 2
Slovan Liberec
SLI
71%
18%
11%
86 84 2 0
26 Nov. 2006
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
31%
25%
44%
86 80 6 0
18 Nov. 2006
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
56%
22%
22%
86 88 2 0