Serzedo vs Aliança Gandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serzedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 2
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
REB
3 - 0
SER
62%
20%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
VAL
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aliança Gandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
GAN
2 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 1
GAN
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GAN
2 - 0
LIX
40%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ODO
2 - 0
GAN
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAN
1 - 0
GRI
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |