Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SER
2 - 1
SOC
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
CSC
2 - 2
SER
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SOC
2 - 0
SER
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
SER
1 - 4
YOB
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
FCL
2 - 1
CSC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
YOB
3 - 2
FCL
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
FCL
2 - 1
LAU
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
NOB
1 - 3
FCL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
FCL
3 - 2
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |