Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 1
DEL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
SER
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 0
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
KRI
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 1
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BIE
2 - 3
LUG
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |