Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
SER
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NEX
6 - 1
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SER
0 - 2
YOB
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 5
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GCZ
4 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCA
3 - 0
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |