Serverense vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
SER
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 0
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALG
46%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 3
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDS
25%
25%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MUR
69%
19%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |