Sertãozinho vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
SER
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 3
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
TAU
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SER
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
BAT
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 0
AGU
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |