Sertãozinho vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
SER
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 4
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INT
4 - 1
COM
34%
28%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 5
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |