Sertanense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
3 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SER
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
SER
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MON
2 - 5
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
52%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAT
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |