Sertanense vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 2
GDF
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 3
UDL
5%
16%
79%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ANA
3 - 0
PEN
82%
14%
4%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
OLI
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 0
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |