Campeonato de Portugal Group C Round 11

Sertanense vs Marialvas analysis

Sertanense Marialvas
41 ELO 27
-25.8% Tilt -12.3%
6908º General ELO ranking 8013º
147º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
61.3%
Sertanense
20.7%
Draw
18%
Marialvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
Sertanense
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18%
Win probability
Marialvas
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sertanense
-27%
+337%
Marialvas

Points and table prediction

Sertanense
Their league position
Marialvas
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
14º
12º
37
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
O Elvas
65
65
100%
Fatima
49
49
100%
Arronches e Benfica
48
48
100%
Peniche
39
39
100%
Marialvas
37
37
0%
Mortágua
37
37
0%
Marinhense
36
36
100%
FC Alverca II
35
35
100%
Benfica Castelo Branco
34
34
100%
Pombal
10º
32
32
10º
100%
União de Coimbra
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Sertanense
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Alcains
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Pêro Pinheiro
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sertanense
Marialvas
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Sertanense
Marialvas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sertanense
Sertanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2024
MOR
Mortágua
1 - 1
Sertanense
SER
48%
25%
27%
41 43 2 0
10 Nov. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 0
Arronches e Benfica
SAB
46%
23%
31%
41 37 4 0
03 Nov. 2024
OEL
O Elvas
1 - 0
Sertanense
SER
67%
20%
13%
41 66 25 0
27 Oct. 2024
SER
Sertanense
0 - 1
Fatima
FAT
43%
27%
30%
41 40 1 0
06 Oct. 2024
PER
Pêro Pinheiro
2 - 1
Sertanense
SER
34%
26%
40%
42 38 4 -1

Matches

Marialvas
Marialvas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marialvas
4 - 1
União de Coimbra
COI
21%
24%
56%
25 68 43 0
10 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marinhense
1 - 0
Marialvas
MAR
68%
19%
13%
24 49 25 +1
03 Nov. 2024
MAR
Marialvas
2 - 0
Peniche
PEN
18%
21%
61%
19 42 23 +5
27 Oct. 2024
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 2
Marialvas
MAR
77%
14%
9%
18 42 24 +1
20 Oct. 2024
MAR
Marialvas
1 - 2
Rebordosa
REB
19%
21%
60%
19 44 25 -1