Sertanense vs Ferreira de Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 2
SER
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
ADM
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 0
SER
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
GAF
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
SER
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
3 - 1
RDA
14%
19%
68%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 1
FAV
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
SOU
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
0 - 4
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |