Sertanense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PIN
1 - 1
SER
57%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAF
2 - 2
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 5
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 1
ATL
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 2
FAT
29%
27%
45%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 2
FAT
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |