Sertanense vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
IRI
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SER
6 - 1
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 3
IRI
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 2
BEN
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CCA
0 - 2
BEN
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
ADP
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |