Sertanense vs Atlético Reguengos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAT
3 - 2
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 2
PIN
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 2
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 2
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 3
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 0
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAT
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |