Serrano FC vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CIG
0 - 1
SFC
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 0
RIO
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 0
CEC
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
SFC
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NCI
0 - 0
ADC
30%
22%
47%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 0
PAD
22%
21%
58%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
ADC
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 1
CIG
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
ADC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |