Capixaba Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Serra FC vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VFC
3 - 3
SER
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 1
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
REA
2 - 1
VFC
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
URO
1 - 0
REA
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |