Serra FC vs Tupy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
VAS
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DES
3 - 1
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
REM
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
RVV
0 - 1
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tupy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 3
RIO
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
ECT
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ECT
1 - 2
EST
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ECT
0 - 1
DES
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RVV
2 - 0
ECT
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |