Serra Branca vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
SER
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
AUT
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SOU
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
LAG
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
ARN
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |