Serpa vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 1
SER
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 4
SER
86%
11%
3%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
UNI
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SER
1 - 5
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PIN
4 - 1
SER
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
4 - 0
FCB
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
IMO
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
EDL
0 - 3
LOU
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LOU
5 - 1
UNI
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |