Sergipe vs Sete de Junho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
OSE
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SER
0 - 1
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALE
3 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SER
3 - 1
ALE
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FER
3 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sete de Junho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SDJ
2 - 2
RIP
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RFC
1 - 1
SDJ
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
SER
4 - 1
SDJ
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SDJ
0 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
SDJ
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |