Sergipe vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SER
0 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SER
1 - 3
CEA
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 3
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
COT
1 - 0
PAL
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1971 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
COT
0 - 0
PAL
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1971 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |