Sergipe vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
NAU
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
SER
1 - 3
POR
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
SAN
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
SER
2 - 0
ATP
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
RIO
5 - 0
SER
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
AMF
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1973 |
NAC
0 - 0
FLU
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
81%
13%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
MOT
0 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
SET
0 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |