Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BOC
2 - 2
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
SER
3 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SER
2 - 0
CON
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SDF
0 - 2
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 0
BOC
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
ITA
62%
22%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |