Sergipe vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 3
SER
11%
17%
73%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
SER
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 4
AFP
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
DOR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAG
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 2
DOR
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |