Sergipe vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 0
SER
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SDJ
0 - 0
SER
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
6 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 1
BAH
58%
25%
18%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
BAH
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
ALA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 2
BAH
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |