Sergipe vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SER
3 - 3
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
SER
16%
24%
61%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 1
SER
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
OSE
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
LAG
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AMA
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -3 |