Sergipe vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
SDJ
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ASA
1 - 3
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
BAH
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
ALA
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |