RFC Seraing vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RFC Seraing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SER
5 - 0
DEI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 2
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DES
4 - 0
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OOS
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VWH
2 - 2
SER
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SPR
2 - 1
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 1
BEE
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
WSW
0 - 1
HEI
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
COX
0 - 5
HEI
45%
22%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |