Seregno vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
SER
70%
19%
12%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ARC
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
PRO
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 1
CAS
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 1
DER
18%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
COM
6%
17%
77%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |