Serbia U17s vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
SRB
2 - 4
SVN
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ISR
0 - 3
SRB
28%
25%
48%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
5 - 0
BIH
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
1 - 2
BLR
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
1 - 3
SRB
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 3
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
CYP
80%
13%
6%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 2
IRL
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |